Qualif. Champions Play-off Final
Global 4-0
Napoli vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
ESP
79%
14%
7%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 2
NAP
16%
20%
64%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
NAP
2 - 0
BYM
33%
23%
44%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAP
52%
24%
24%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NAP
1 - 1
CHI
88%
9%
3%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 2
TRO
69%
20%
12%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 0
NIC
26%
26%
49%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
AJA
2 - 2
NIC
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
NIC
1 - 1
AJA
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2017 |
MON
1 - 2
NIC
57%
23%
20%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |