Napoli vs Inter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
49.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
LEC
2 - 1
NAP
29%
26%
45%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 0
GEN
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
PAL
2 - 1
NAP
47%
25%
29%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
NAP
1 - 2
UDI
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
BOL
0 - 2
NAP
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Inter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2011 |
INT
1 - 1
ROM
62%
20%
18%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
INT
3 - 1
FIO
74%
17%
10%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
CES
1 - 2
INT
13%
23%
64%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2011 |
ROM
0 - 1
INT
43%
26%
32%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |