Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
UDI
2 - 2
NAP
59%
23%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
NAP
0 - 0
JUV
21%
27%
52%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
71%
19%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
NAP
3 - 1
INT
31%
30%
39%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
USC
1 - 1
NAP
41%
30%
30%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1985 |
FIO
0 - 0
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1985 |
FIO
3 - 1
UDI
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
JUV
1 - 2
FIO
79%
14%
7%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
FIO
1 - 1
USC
80%
14%
5%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1985 |
INT
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |