Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
BAR
0 - 0
NAP
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
UDI
1 - 1
NAP
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
NAP
4 - 2
BOL
45%
24%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1959 |
USA
2 - 1
NAP
42%
25%
34%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1959 |
FIO
1 - 1
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1959 |
FIO
4 - 0
TOR
81%
12%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1959 |
UDI
2 - 0
FIO
31%
25%
44%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1959 |
GEN
0 - 0
FIO
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1959 |
FIO
2 - 1
SAM
78%
13%
9%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |