Napoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
12.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
INT
1 - 2
NAP
70%
19%
10%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
TOR
1 - 2
NAP
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
NAP
5 - 0
VAR
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 1
SAM
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
NAP
1 - 2
JUV
48%
27%
24%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
BRE
0 - 0
VIC
46%
29%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
40%
29%
32%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1968 |
JUV
2 - 1
BRE
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 1
FIO
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |