Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 1-0
Napoli vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
5.7%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 1991 |
NAP
3 - 2
BOL
77%
16%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1991 |
ROM
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 1
JUV
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1991 |
NAP
1 - 0
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
LAZ
0 - 2
NAP
28%
30%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 1991 |
COS
2 - 2
REG
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1991 |
REG
1 - 0
COS
57%
21%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1991 |
REG
3 - 3
ASC
43%
29%
29%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 1991 |
TRI
2 - 3
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1991 |
REG
1 - 1
BRE
57%
26%
17%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |