Nantwich Town vs Lincoln City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
56.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2016 |
NAN
4 - 0
SKE
80%
14%
7%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
WHI
1 - 3
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
COA
3 - 1
NAN
20%
22%
59%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | -2 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
BUX
4 - 1
NAN
20%
22%
57%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
NAN
1 - 0
SPE
48%
24%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Lincoln City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 1
TRA
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 2
OLD
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
1 - 0
WRE
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
LIN
2 - 0
MAI
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2016 |
YOR
1 - 4
LIN
13%
20%
67%
|
52 | 36 | 16 | +1 |