Nantes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
NAN
28%
27%
45%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
AJA
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 1
SOC
57%
23%
19%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
AUX
0 - 1
NAN
41%
27%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
REN
58%
23%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2003 |
MET
2 - 1
CLE
66%
21%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
ASS
1 - 1
MET
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2003 |
FCM
2 - 1
MET
25%
29%
46%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
MET
2 - 1
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2003 |
ESW
0 - 0
MET
28%
27%
45%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |