Nantes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
15.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
NAN
0 - 1
PSG
7%
14%
80%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
SEN
0 - 4
NAN
2%
7%
91%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
AMI
0 - 1
NAN
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
ORL
2 - 3
AUX
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
5 - 0
NIO
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2018 |
AUX
1 - 1
LHA
36%
29%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 5
AUX
14%
22%
64%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
AJA
3 - 1
AUX
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |