Nancy vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1979 |
REI
1 - 3
ASN
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1979 |
ASN
0 - 0
STR
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
NAN
3 - 0
ASN
63%
21%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1979 |
ASN
5 - 1
BAS
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
ASN
2 - 3
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1979 |
LIL
2 - 0
MAR
52%
23%
25%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
BAS
0 - 0
LIL
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1979 |
LIL
4 - 2
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1979 |
ANG
1 - 1
LIL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1979 |
LIL
1 - 1
GIR
56%
22%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |