Nancy II vs Metz II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
36.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
10º
8º
32
6º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 73.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
NAN
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
3 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +3 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
THL
4 - 1
NAN
27%
21%
51%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 0
REI
38%
23%
40%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
STR
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Metz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MET
4 - 2
STR
38%
24%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MEZ
4 - 0
MET
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MET
3 - 4
THA
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAR
2 - 1
MET
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
MET
4 - 0
MET
70%
16%
14%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |