Namungo vs Mtibwa Sugar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Namungo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
NAM
1 - 0
DJF
47%
26%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
GGF
1 - 0
NAM
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
NAM
2 - 0
IFC
48%
27%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
SIM
1 - 1
NAM
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2023 |
COA
0 - 0
NAM
25%
29%
46%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mtibwa Sugar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
MTI
13%
22%
65%
|
52 | 13 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
AZA
5 - 0
MTI
68%
20%
12%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
MTI
1 - 2
JKT
41%
26%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
KMC
1 - 0
MTI
59%
24%
18%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2023 |
MTI
3 - 1
GGF
36%
26%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |