Nacional vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEV
83%
11%
6%
|
60 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 2
RIO
27%
27%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
FAM
3 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 3
SLB
7%
16%
77%
|
61 | 87 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 2
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
VIZ
0 - 0
EST
41%
25%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 0
MAF
74%
17%
9%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SPC
3 - 2
EST
19%
26%
55%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
CHA
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |