Nacional SP vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
NAC
54%
25%
22%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
NOR
35%
26%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
55%
24%
22%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
RIO
1 - 2
NAC
41%
25%
34%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NAC
0 - 0
BER
30%
25%
45%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2020 |
PAL
2 - 1
AGU
87%
11%
3%
|
53 | 88 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2020 |
AGU
0 - 0
MIR
24%
24%
52%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
4 - 0
AGU
75%
16%
8%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AGU
1 - 1
INT
44%
25%
31%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
GUA
0 - 0
AGU
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |