Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.5%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
BLO
2 - 0
NAC
37%
26%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 1
BLO
51%
24%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
NAC
4 - 2
OPE
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
STR
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
AUR
73%
18%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 3
NAC
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
AUR
2 - 4
SAC
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
JWI
0 - 0
AUR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
AUR
3 - 0
UNI
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |