Nacional Potosí vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
9.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2019 |
ZUL
0 - 1
NAC
39%
25%
37%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOL
37%
23%
40%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2019 |
BLO
0 - 1
NAC
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 0
GUA
62%
20%
18%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DES
0 - 0
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
SBW
3 - 0
AUR
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 1
STR
20%
25%
55%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +1 |