Nacional vs Racing Montevideo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.6%
10.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2019 |
MWA
0 - 1
NAC
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
4 - 1
LFC
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
PEÑ
42%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
JUV
0 - 2
NAC
32%
27%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 1
RIV
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Racing Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
RAC
1 - 1
RIV
35%
26%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CER
1 - 0
RAC
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 4
JUN
48%
25%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 2
MWA
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
LFC
3 - 1
RAC
61%
20%
18%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |