Nacional vs Juventud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.4%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 3
NAC
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 1
MWA
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
DAN
1 - 2
NAC
29%
27%
45%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
67%
20%
13%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 1
LAN
39%
25%
36%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Juventud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
2 - 2
SUD
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 0
RIV
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2017 |
RAC
1 - 0
JUV
53%
25%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
JUV
0 - 1
MWA
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
MWA
1 - 2
JUV
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |