Nacional vs Always Ready analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
14.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
DEF
3 - 3
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
3 - 0
MWA
57%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 0
APC
66%
19%
14%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Always Ready
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
GUA
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
DGV
81%
13%
6%
|
71 | 24 | 47 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
REA
1 - 0
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
3 - 1
REA
35%
27%
39%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
SPC
3 - 1
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |