Nacional vs Puerto Cabello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
1 - 1
NAC
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
APC
0 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
RIV
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
LFC
2 - 1
NAC
57%
22%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
TOR
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puerto Cabello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
APC
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
APC
0 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
APC
2 - 1
EST
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
DEF
1 - 0
APC
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
POR
0 - 1
APC
29%
28%
43%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |