Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.8%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
39%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 1
NAC
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
OLI
32%
28%
41%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
GEN
1 - 4
NAC
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 2
SPO
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 0
CCP
31%
28%
41%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 2
GUA
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 2
LIB
28%
28%
44%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2015 |
LQE
1 - 1
LIB
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2015 |
CHA
1 - 1
LIB
40%
28%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
OLI
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |