Naçao Esportes vs Caravaggio FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
24.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+103%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
CRI
0 - 1
NES
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 63 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
NES
1 - 1
INT
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
3 - 0
NES
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NES
3 - 0
BLU
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MET
0 - 0
NES
62%
20%
17%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caravaggio FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
GUA
35%
23%
42%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
BLU
3 - 1
CFC
49%
23%
29%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2022 |
TUB
0 - 2
CFC
55%
21%
23%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 1
CRI
10%
18%
71%
|
23 | 62 | 39 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2022 |
CRA
0 - 1
CFC
57%
21%
23%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |