Murense vs UD Alaró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
MUR
3 - 0
SSA
57%
22%
21%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 1
MUR
39%
24%
38%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MUR
7 - 0
ALQ
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 5 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
CAL
1 - 0
MUR
46%
24%
30%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MUR
1 - 1
SCD
43%
24%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UD Alaró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
SVE
4 - 2
UDA
44%
23%
33%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 2
RLV
46%
24%
30%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 1
SHO
62%
20%
18%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
CAR
5 - 1
UDA
64%
21%
16%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
0 - 0
ATL
54%
23%
23%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |