Murense vs Espanya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
MUR
34%
24%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
STA
0 - 2
MUR
56%
22%
22%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
3 - 3
ESP
26%
25%
49%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
MUR
76%
15%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 4
ALG
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Espanya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 2
ESP
25%
24%
51%
|
15 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SAM
3 - 2
ESP
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
ESP
0 - 1
ALG
31%
24%
45%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
SVE
2 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
ESP
1 - 1
SPO
47%
23%
30%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |