Murchante vs Aoiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
77%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Murchante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CDC
2 - 0
MUR
87%
9%
3%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MUR
1 - 1
PEN
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
INJ
4 - 0
MUR
82%
12%
6%
|
7 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
MUR
0 - 1
MUT
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDI
3 - 2
MUR
82%
13%
5%
|
8 | 18 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aoiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
AOI
3 - 0
ALU
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
GAR
0 - 0
AOI
52%
23%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
AOI
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AOI
2 - 1
CDC
56%
23%
21%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
2 - 0
AOI
38%
24%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | -1 |