Muiños vs Arrabaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Muiños
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
COR
0 - 1
MUI
28%
20%
51%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MUI
3 - 1
AMO
82%
11%
7%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
LOB
1 - 2
MUI
18%
19%
64%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MUI
3 - 0
SAL
95%
4%
1%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CEA
0 - 3
MUI
6%
11%
83%
|
17 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARR
0 - 3
TOE
68%
17%
16%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COV
1 - 3
ARR
17%
18%
65%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
ARR
5 - 2
IRI
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
OUT
0 - 1
ARR
14%
18%
67%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 1
COL
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |