Série D Brazil Semi-finals
Global 2-4
Moto Club MA vs Volta Redonda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
38.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 2
MOT
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 2
ATL
52%
24%
25%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 0
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 1
SDJ
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Volta Redonda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
VOL
1 - 1
FRI
56%
24%
20%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VOL
2 - 1
FLU
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
SAO
0 - 1
VOL
15%
21%
65%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 3
VOL
31%
28%
41%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 1
BAN
48%
26%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |