Motherwell vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
4º
4º
35
6º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 13 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 7 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 7 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 5 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
35 | 4 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
HIB
3 - 0
MHE
51%
25%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ROS
1 - 5
MHE
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MHE
4 - 1
LIV
63%
21%
16%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
MHE
53%
25%
23%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
MHE
1 - 1
HIB
37%
25%
38%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 1
ROS
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
LIV
2 - 1
STJ
42%
29%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ABE
1 - 0
STJ
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
1 - 3
HIB
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
STJ
0 - 2
KIL
25%
29%
46%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | -1 |