Mornar vs Jezero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
27.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mornar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
BUD
0 - 1
MOR
57%
23%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 0
RUD
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JED
3 - 4
MOR
31%
29%
40%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 1
DEC
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 2
MOR
41%
28%
32%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Jezero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
JEZ
2 - 1
RUD
61%
23%
16%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
DEC
2 - 0
JEZ
46%
28%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
JEZ
1 - 0
DEC
42%
26%
33%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
JEZ
0 - 1
FKM
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
PET
2 - 1
JEZ
42%
27%
30%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |