Morella vs CF Villafranca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.7%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TRR
4 - 1
MOR
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
5 - 2
RAF
54%
24%
22%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MOR
3 - 3
CHE
69%
19%
12%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CDB
0 - 4
MOR
7%
14%
79%
|
18 | 6 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MOR
1 - 1
ATZ
33%
24%
42%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CF Villafranca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
CLU
1 - 2
RPL
16%
19%
65%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ALM
3 - 1
CLU
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SAP
1 - 1
CLU
76%
14%
10%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CLU
0 - 4
VAL
10%
15%
76%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
BET
4 - 0
CLU
78%
14%
9%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |