Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
CA Morelia vs León analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
20%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 0
PUE
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 3
ATS
63%
22%
15%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
CAZ
1 - 0
MOR
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHI
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2013 |
MON
0 - 3
MOR
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
León
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
LEO
5 - 0
TIJ
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
TIG
1 - 1
LEO
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
QRO
2 - 0
LEO
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
LEO
3 - 1
PUE
59%
23%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |