Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
CA Morelia vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
27.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
MON
41%
27%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 0
MOR
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
PUM
2 - 0
MOR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 2
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 0
VEL
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CAZ
1 - 1
CHI
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 2
ATS
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
24%
27%
49%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CHI
0 - 3
MOR
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |