Liga MX Finals Ap. Last 16
Global 3-1
CA Morelia vs América analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
TOL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
24%
22%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
MOR
2 - 1
CAZ
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
SNL
2 - 1
MOR
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
MOR
1 - 0
TIG
51%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SAN
3 - 2
MOR
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2007 |
AME
2 - 0
MIL
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
MON
0 - 1
AME
38%
27%
36%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2007 |
MIL
2 - 3
AME
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
AME
1 - 0
NEC
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
ATL
2 - 1
AME
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |