Moreirense vs Rio Ave analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
ARO
59%
24%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
SCP
1 - 1
MOR
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SPC
1 - 2
MOR
36%
28%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Ave
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 0
ACA
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SPB
2 - 1
RIO
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
GFC
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
FCP
2 - 0
RIO
80%
14%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
PAÇ
38%
28%
35%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |