Moreirense vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2018 |
SCP
1 - 0
MOR
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
MOR
1 - 2
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
TON
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
FCP
14%
21%
65%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
15%
22%
63%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VST
1 - 0
PAÇ
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2018 |
PAÇ
0 - 2
TON
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
3 - 2
PAÇ
46%
25%
29%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
FEI
58%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |