Moreirense vs Farense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOR
29%
25%
46%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 2
RIO
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
MOR
6 - 4
SPC
83%
13%
5%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAF
0 - 2
MOR
24%
27%
49%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MOR
4 - 2
LEX
77%
16%
7%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Farense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2023 |
ALN
5 - 1
FAR
67%
19%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 1
TON
57%
24%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 1
FAR
39%
26%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
NAC
0 - 1
FAR
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
FAR
2 - 0
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |