Morecambe vs Man. Utd U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
1 - 1
STE
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
MAL
0 - 1
MOR
48%
23%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2020 |
MOR
2 - 2
EXE
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
TRA
0 - 1
MOR
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CUM
3 - 1
MOR
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Man. Utd U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
MAN
50%
22%
29%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
SAL
0 - 6
MAN
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +2 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
TRA
3 - 2
MAN
62%
20%
19%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
DON
1 - 2
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 2
MAN
76%
15%
10%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +2 |