Moralo vs Arroyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moralo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 1
ADL
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
MOR
16%
23%
61%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MOR
2 - 0
CDD
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
AZU
0 - 0
MOR
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
JER
1 - 0
ARR
42%
27%
31%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 0
MOR
25%
26%
49%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ARR
1 - 1
CDD
62%
22%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
EXT
0 - 2
ARR
20%
26%
54%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ARR
2 - 1
BAD
64%
21%
15%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |