Moraleja CF vs Villalpando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.5%
20.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moraleja CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 1
MOR
13%
16%
71%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 1
FRE
85%
10%
5%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
BVD
0 - 5
MOR
8%
13%
80%
|
16 | 5 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 2
COR
69%
17%
15%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
IVL
0 - 11
MOR
9%
14%
77%
|
15 | 5 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Villalpando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 4
CDN
64%
17%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
0 - 1
VIL
18%
19%
63%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
0 - 2
CAM
68%
17%
15%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 3
VIL
11%
14%
75%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 2
RCB
48%
20%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |