GOAL FC vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
17.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+89%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GOAL FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
MOA
2 - 2
SPO
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MOA
2 - 1
SPO
48%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
FCM
3 - 1
MOA
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MOA
6 - 1
MON
63%
21%
17%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AND
1 - 1
MOA
31%
28%
41%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
AUB
0 - 2
TFC
7%
15%
78%
|
44 | 70 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
AUB
2 - 2
LEG
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
CON
0 - 0
AUB
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
MAX
1 - 3
AUB
11%
16%
72%
|
44 | 7 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 3
AUB
28%
25%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |