Montpellier vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
4º
15º
12º
50
2º
12º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
76 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
53 | 53 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
50 | 50 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
29 | 29 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montpellier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MET
0 - 1
MPL
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
MPL
0 - 0
LEN
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MON
2 - 0
MPL
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 1
CLE
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
MPL
1 - 3
BRE
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
CLE
70%
18%
12%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2023 |
BHA
1 - 0
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
LOR
2 - 4
MAR
25%
26%
50%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
LYO
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
REN
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |