Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Monterrey vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
77%
15%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
50%
24%
27%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
TIJ
0 - 4
MON
30%
26%
44%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2019 |
MON
6 - 0
CAF
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
MON
1 - 1
VER
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
CAZ
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
AME
1 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 0
QRO
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |