Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 3-0
Monterrey vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monterrey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MON
0 - 0
PAC
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MON
2 - 0
ATS
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
JUA
0 - 1
MON
18%
24%
58%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
MON
3 - 2
CAZ
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
0 - 0
MON
38%
26%
36%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
1 - 0
LEO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 1
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
PUM
1 - 2
CAZ
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
CAZ
2 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |