Monte Azul vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
66.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
CAP
25%
24%
51%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
XVD
5 - 2
NOR
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 4
XVD
13%
22%
65%
|
64 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
VEL
1 - 2
XVD
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
2 - 0
POR
56%
25%
19%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |