Monte Azul vs Capivariano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
51.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
4 - 0
MON
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CAP
1 - 2
LIN
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAP
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
2 - 5
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 2
CAP
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CAP
0 - 0
SAO
52%
24%
23%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |