Montalegre vs Vilaverdense FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.5%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
62.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
6º
12º
11º
40
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 12 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montalegre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
2 - 1
MON
75%
19%
7%
|
27 | 58 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MON
1 - 3
SAO
32%
26%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 2
SAO
31%
24%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
0 - 1
MON
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
VSC
29%
22%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Vilaverdense FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
0 - 0
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
POR
10%
18%
72%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
FEL
1 - 1
VIL
44%
25%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
ATL
63%
20%
17%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 0
ANA
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |