Mons Calpe vs Europa Point analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
7º
8º
8º
4
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 12 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 7 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 4 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mons Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
JOS
3 - 0
MON
63%
20%
18%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 0
MON
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 2
CEU
18%
20%
62%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
LRI
2 - 1
MON
65%
19%
16%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Europa Point
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 4
GLA
18%
20%
63%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
LYN
5 - 1
EUR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
EUR
0 - 6
JOS
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MAN
2 - 2
EUR
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
7 - 0
EUR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | -1 |