Monaco vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
LEN
0 - 4
MON
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
DIJ
49%
26%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
LHA
2 - 1
MON
32%
28%
41%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
NIO
1 - 2
MON
26%
26%
48%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
MON
3 - 0
ARL
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BRE
2 - 1
VAL
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
47%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LYO
3 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 0
AJA
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
NIC
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |