Monaco vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MET
1 - 2
MON
18%
23%
59%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
MON
3 - 0
PSG
19%
21%
61%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
SPB
49%
24%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 0
REI
28%
27%
45%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
ASS
1 - 1
TRO
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
32%
28%
40%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
GIR
0 - 2
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
MAR
18%
24%
59%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |