Europa League Last 16
Global 1-3
Monaco vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
27%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
STR
1 - 0
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 2
MON
24%
25%
51%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
REI
63%
21%
16%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 1
GFC
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 0
MON
39%
25%
36%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BOA
1 - 1
SPB
16%
23%
62%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2022 |
SPB
0 - 0
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2022 |
SPB
2 - 0
SHF
61%
21%
18%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |